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RBS to pay a dividend

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daveh
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RBS to pay a dividend

#156881

Postby daveh » August 3rd, 2018, 8:42 am

RBS announce half year results:
www.investegate.co.uk/article.aspx?id=2 ... 7095W&fe=1

RBS reported an operating profit before tax of £1,826 million for H1 2018, including an £801 million litigation and conduct charge. RBS announces its intention to declare an interim dividend of 2p per share.

● H1 2018 attributable profit of £888 million and a Q2 2018 attributable profit of £96 million.

● Q2 2018 operating profit before tax of £613 million, compared with £1,238 million in Q2 2017.


Continued track record of deliver

Income resilient in a competitive market:

● Income was broadly stable compared with H1 2017 excluding NatWest Markets, Central items and one-off gains in Commercial Banking. Total income decreased by £217 million, or 3.1%.

● Q2 2018 net interest margin of 2.01% decreased by 3 basis points compared with Q1 2018 reflecting increased liquidity and continued competitive margin pressure.

Lower costs through continued transformation and increased digitisation:

● Compared with H1 2017, other expenses decreased by £133 million, or 3.6%, excluding a VAT release in 2017 and FTEs reduced by 6.7%.

● 6.0 million customers now regularly using our mobile app, 9% higher than December 2017. Over 80% of Commercial Banking customers are now interacting with us digitally, 41% of whom have migrated to new Bankline.

Legacy issues diminishing:

● Reached civil settlement in principle with the US Department of Justice (DoJ) in relation to the DoJ's investigation into RBS's issuance and underwriting of US Residential Mortgage Backed Securities (RMBS) between 2005 and 2007, resulting in a £1,040 million additional provision in Q2 2018. In addition, a £241 million provision release relating to a RMBS litigation indemnity was recognised in the quarter.

● Entered into a Memorandum of Understanding with the Trustees of the Main scheme of the RBS Group Pension Fund to address the historical funding weakness of the pension scheme, recognising a pre-tax £2.0 billion contribution against reserves and an equivalent reduction in CET1 capital.

Stronger capital position:

● CET1 ratio of 16.1% includes the impact of the £2 billion pre-tax pension contribution, the civil settlement in principle with the DoJ and the accrual of the intended interim dividend. Excluding these items, CET1 ratio increased by 110 basis points in the quarter driven by underlying profitability and RWA reductions.

● RWAs decreased by £3.9 billion in the quarter primarily reflecting reductions in NatWest Markets and continued active capital management in Commercial Banking.

● Moody's upgraded The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc's senior debt rating one notch to Baa2 from Baa3 and changed the outlook to positive.

Outlook (1)

We retain the outlook guidance we provided in the 2017 Annual Results document.

We intend to declare an interim dividend of 2p per ordinary share. Declaration of the interim dividend is subject to the timing of finalisation of the previously announced civil settlement in principle with the DoJ in relation to the DoJ's investigation into RBS's issuance and underwriting of US RMBS. We expect to finalise the settlement with the DoJ and will make a further announcement at the relevant time.

Note:

(1) The targets, expectations and trends discussed in this section represent management's current expectations and are subject to change, including as a result of the factors described in this document and in the "Risk Factors" on pages 48 and 49 of this document and on pages 372 to 402 of the 2017 Annual Report and Accounts. These statements constitute forward-looking statements; refer to Forward-looking statements in this document.




If the dividend comes to pass I'll receive the princely sum of £3.04, and assuming the interim is 1/3 of the total annual dividend, that suggest a final of 4p for a total payout to me of £9.12p, a yield of 0.13% on purchase cost. Working of the last price I had for RBS shares that suggests a yield of 2.4% if the interim is 1/3 of the total dividend.

johnhemming
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Re: RBS to pay a dividend

#156888

Postby johnhemming » August 3rd, 2018, 9:19 am

For valuation it is more a question of looking at the forward PE rather than yield. What I would expect over time is some form of capital return (probably a buy back), but I would not expect that until there is certainty on the Brexit issue.

daveh
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Re: RBS to pay a dividend

#159752

Postby daveh » August 15th, 2018, 8:24 am

RBS have announced that they have confirmed the agreement with the DoJ (on the terms previously announced) and the dividend is confirmed at 2.0p paid 12 Oct ex 23/8/18 record date 24/8/18
Details here:
www.investegate.co.uk/article.aspx?id=2 ... 8171X&fe=1

Not exactly a large payment for me in cash terms - but a decent sum for the majority share holder.

nmdhqbc
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Re: RBS to pay a dividend

#159765

Postby nmdhqbc » August 15th, 2018, 9:33 am

£27.94 coming my way. How much are those fancy electric cars?


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