StepOne wrote:idpickering wrote:I topped up my BP holdings not so long ago, so enough of them for me for now. Both are mainstays in my HYP, and I have zero intention of selling these dividend producing machines.
There's no such thing as the perfect HYP share. The BP dividend machine ground to an abrupt halt in 2009, post-Macondo, missing payments for a year, and only resuming them at about half the level they had been. The 2018 dividend total is going to be around 30p, still below the 35p they paid out in 2009.
StepOne
It's rather misleading to quote sterling values for an FX dividend share for this purpose, ie. seeing how the 18 dividend compares with the pre spill 09 figure. It's more meaningful as a measure of the company's dividend policy to look at the situation in their accounting currency, US$ here.
In 09 they paid 56¢ pre suspension. Following resumption in 10 after 3 Qs of nil dividends and a Q4 of 7¢, it rose gradually to an annual 40¢ (10¢ per Q) for 15 where it has been stuck until now, when they raised Q2 18 to 10.25¢. At a guess, Qs 3 and 4 18 will repeat the 10.25¢ making a forecast 40.75¢ for 18.
That's a considerably worse drop, comparing 18 with 09, than your sterling figures.
I agree completely on your comment about no such thing as a perfect HYP share. You should see them bleating over on the SSE thread about the company's poor trading update today. And some of the people there have lengthy HYP experience yet appear shocked when a company shits the bed. Yet such a situation is just about inevitable on occasion and is the reason we hold a portfolio. Almost every company at some stage will have such a bad patch. It is to be expected.