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Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

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PinkDalek
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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#212355

Postby PinkDalek » April 3rd, 2019, 11:44 am

tjh290633 wrote:
IanTHughes wrote:
tjh290633 wrote:I am always comforted when I see the company name on the back of a rugby club shirt.

Like Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC (RBS) sponsoring the 6 Nations you mean? :shock:


Ian

I was talking about D S Smith.

TJH


That much was clear (Wasps and Cardiff Blues) and it was also clear that (the former rugby playing) ITH had read what you wrote and provided a counter indicator.

Is this something Doris should add to her free cash flow cogitations (adding SSE to the list)? :)

PD (Rugby Union ex player and current supporter as well as being invested in SMDS since when I can't recall)

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#212818

Postby IanTHughes » April 4th, 2019, 11:37 pm

Sector 12
Holding 14

Weapons Manufacturer - British Aerospace (BA) is the choice

Sector 13
Holding 15

Pharmaceuticals - GlaxoSmithKline (GSK) is the choice

https://www.stockopedia.com/content/how ... /#comments

The portfolio now looks like
No. | Epic | Business     | Price | Forecast Yield
1 | SLA | Fund Manager | 271 | 8.00%
2 | VOD | Telecom | 148 | 8.70%
3 | IMB | Tobacco | 2,624 | 8.90%
4 | BHP | Mining | 1,779 | 8.90%
5 | AV | Insurance | 410 | 8.00%
6 | ITV | Television | 128 | 6.30%
7 | HSBA | Bank | 615 | 6.30%
8*| BP | Oil | 553 | 5.70%
9*| RDSB | Oil | 2,406 | 6.00%
10*| BLND | Property | 585 | 5.40%
11*| LAND | Property | 911 | 5.40%
12 | WPP | Advertising | 842 | 7.10%
13 | SMDS | Packaging | 346 | 5.10%
14 | BA | Weapons | 490 | 4.70%
15 | GSK | Pharma | 1,585 | 5.00%

* These shares are multiple choice in the same sector



Ian

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#212822

Postby monabri » April 4th, 2019, 11:58 pm

"British Aerospace " hasn't existed for ~20 years.

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#212826

Postby Breelander » April 5th, 2019, 1:43 am

monabri wrote:"British Aerospace " hasn't existed for ~20 years.


Those were Ian's words. Stephen Bland called them 'BAE Systems (BA.)'.

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#212989

Postby IanTHughes » April 5th, 2019, 5:42 pm

Sector 14
Holding 16

Gambling - IG Group Holdings (IGG) is the punt

https://www.stockopedia.com/content/how ... /#comments

The portfolio now looks like
No. | Epic | Business     | Price | Forecast Yield
1 | SLA | Fund Manager | 271 | 8.00%
2 | VOD | Telecom | 148 | 8.70%
3 | IMB | Tobacco | 2,624 | 8.90%
4 | BHP | Mining | 1,779 | 8.90%
5 | AV | Insurance | 410 | 8.00%
6 | ITV | Television | 128 | 6.30%
7 | HSBA | Bank | 615 | 6.30%
8*| BP | Oil | 553 | 5.70%
9*| RDSB | Oil | 2,406 | 6.00%
10*| BLND | Property | 585 | 5.40%
11*| LAND | Property | 911 | 5.40%
12 | WPP | Advertising | 842 | 7.10%
13 | SMDS | Packaging | 346 | 5.10%
14 | BA | Weapons | 490 | 4.70%
15 | GSK | Pharma | 1,585 | 5.00%
16 | IGG | Gambling | 540 | 8.00%

* These shares are multiple choice in the same sector



Ian

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#212995

Postby Itsallaguess » April 5th, 2019, 6:24 pm

IanTHughes wrote:
The portfolio now looks like

No. | Epic | Business     | Price | Forecast Yield
1 | SLA | Fund Manager | 271 | 8.00%
2 | VOD | Telecom | 148 | 8.70%
3 | IMB | Tobacco | 2,624 | 8.90%
4 | BHP | Mining | 1,779 | 8.90%
5 | AV | Insurance | 410 | 8.00%
6 | ITV | Television | 128 | 6.30%
7 | HSBA | Bank | 615 | 6.30%
8*| BP | Oil | 553 | 5.70%
9*| RDSB | Oil | 2,406 | 6.00%
10*| BLND | Property | 585 | 5.40%
11*| LAND | Property | 911 | 5.40%
12 | WPP | Advertising | 842 | 7.10%
13 | SMDS | Packaging | 346 | 5.10%
14 | BA | Weapons | 490 | 4.70%
15 | GSK | Pharma | 1,585 | 5.00%
16 | IGG | Gambling | 540 | 8.00%

* These shares are multiple choice in the same sector


Now there's a sizeable number of HYP components in the above portfolio, I thought I'd throw it at the HYPTUSS tool with a notional £15,000 invested in each of the above stocks, just to see what the running portfolio forecast-yield is shown as.

Having just run the latest forecast yield-scrape, there's a couple of very slight differences in individual forecast yields, which is to be expected to some degree, but on the whole it looks like a good fit with the above data.

The overall HYP portfolio forecast-yield for the above holdings is currently showing as around 6.52% on an equal-weighting basis, which looks pretty good for such a well-balanced set of holdings.

Using the above forecast-yield figures brings the overall portfolio forecast-yield to show as 6.72%, so a touch higher.

Cheers,

Itsallaguess
Last edited by Itsallaguess on April 5th, 2019, 6:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.

IanTHughes
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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#212996

Postby IanTHughes » April 5th, 2019, 6:29 pm

Itsallaguess wrote:Now there's a sizeable number of HYP components in the above portfolio, I thought I'd throw it at the HYPTUSS tool with a notional £15,000 invested in each of the above stock, just to see what the running portfolio forecast-yield is shown as.

Having just run the latest forecast yield-scrape, there's a couple of very slight differences in individual forecast yields, which is to be expected to some degree, but on the whole it looks like a good fit with the above data.

The overall HYP portfolio forecast-yield for the above holdings is currently showing as around 6.52% on an equal-weighting basis, which looks pretty good for such a well-balanced set of holdings.

Be sure to note that those holdi9ngs marked with "*" are half holdings - £7,500 in your above example


Ian

Itsallaguess
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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#212997

Postby Itsallaguess » April 5th, 2019, 6:37 pm

IanTHughes wrote:
Be sure to note that those holdi9ngs marked with "*" are half holdings - £7,500 in your above example


Ah - good catch, thanks Ian.

So putting those half-holdings into the HYPTUSS tool now shows a running portfolio forecast-yield of 6.67% on current forecasts, and 6.87% on the above yield figures in the table.

It'll be interesting to follow the fortunes of this new HYP.

Cheers,

Itsallaguess

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#213001

Postby AJC5001 » April 5th, 2019, 7:01 pm

Itsallaguess wrote:So putting those half-holdings into the HYPTUSS tool now shows a running portfolio forecast-yield of 6.67% on current forecasts, and 6.87% on the above yield figures in the table.

It'll be interesting to follow the fortunes of this new HYP.


Well that should be easy with the latest version of the HYPTUSS :)

Given that we are at the end of the Tax year, any chance you could give us the latest Overview from this? Then taking a snapshot would give the starting point for the next Tax year.

Adrian

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#213031

Postby Itsallaguess » April 5th, 2019, 10:34 pm

AJC5001 wrote:
Given that we are at the end of the Tax year, any chance you could give us the latest Overview from this?


Sure, here it is at close of play today via the HYPTUSS tool overview process -

                                                                                Value    Div   Fcst 
Share Epic Sector %Total %Total Yield

Standard Life Aberdeen plc SLA Life Insurance 7.1% 8.6% 8.0%
Vodafone Group VOD Mobile Telecommunications 7.1% 9.5% 8.9%
Imperial Brands IMB Tobacco 7.1% 8.8% 8.2%
BHP Group BHP Mining 7.1% 8.1% 7.6%
Aviva AV Life Insurance 7.1% 8.1% 7.6%
ITV ITV Media 7.1% 6.5% 6.1%
HSBC Holdings HSBA Banks 7.1% 6.5% 6.1%
BP BP Oil & Gas Producers 3.6% 3.1% 5.7%
Royal Dutch Shell 'B' RDSB Oil & Gas Producers 3.6% 3.1% 5.8%
British Land Company BLND Retail REITs 3.6% 2.8% 5.2%
Land Securities Group LAND Industrial & Office REITs 3.6% 2.8% 5.3%
WPP WPP Media 7.1% 7.6% 7.1%
Smith (DS) SMDS General Industrials 7.1% 5.4% 5.0%
BAE Systems BA Aerospace & Defence 7.1% 5.0% 4.7%
GlaxoSmithKline GSK Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology 7.1% 5.4% 5.0%
IG Group Holdings IGG Financial Services 7.1% 8.7% 8.1%

Portfolio Running Yield = 6.67%


Value Div
Sector %Total %Total

Life Insurance 14.3% 16.7%
Mobile Telecommunications 7.1% 9.5%
Tobacco 7.1% 8.8%
Mining 7.1% 8.1%
Media 14.3% 14.1%
Banks 7.1% 6.5%
Oil & Gas Producers 7.1% 6.2%
Retail REITs 3.6% 2.8%
Industrial & Office REITs 3.6% 2.8%
General Industrials 7.1% 5.4%
Aerospace & Defence 7.1% 5.0%
Pharmaceuticals & Biotechnology 7.1% 5.4%
Financial Services 7.1% 8.7%
Total 100.0% 100.0%

Note: 1...'Value %Total' is the portfolio value of the share as a % of the total portfolio
2...'Div %Total' is the expected dividend of the share based on forecast yield
as a % of the total portfolio expected dividend

Cheers,

Itsallaguess

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#213093

Postby Itsallaguess » April 6th, 2019, 11:21 am

And here's a capture of the current HYP in the HYPTUSS tool, with the approximate number of shares held based on purchase price, stamp-duty, and a notional dealing charge. With many thanks to IanTHughes for collating that base-information to help with this -

Image

Cheers,

Itsallaguess

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#213135

Postby Arborbridge » April 6th, 2019, 2:45 pm

Itsallaguess wrote:And here's a capture of the current HYP in the HYPTUSS tool, with the approximate number of shares held based on purchase price, stamp-duty, and a notional dealing charge.

Itsallaguess


Tempting to unitise it.....

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#213150

Postby moorfield » April 6th, 2019, 4:16 pm

Itsallaguess wrote:
                                                                                Value    Div   Fcst 
Share Epic Sector %Total %Total Yield

Standard Life Aberdeen plc SLA Life Insurance 7.1% 8.6% 8.0%


Value Div
Sector %Total %Total

Life Insurance 14.3% 16.7%




SLA is a Fund Manager, not Life Insurance, which has skewed your sector weights here I think.

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#213155

Postby Itsallaguess » April 6th, 2019, 4:36 pm

moorfield wrote:
SLA is a Fund Manager, not Life Insurance, which has skewed your sector weights here I think.


This isn't something I personally own, so I can't say that I know a great deal about this, but what I can say is that there's lots, and lots of on-line resources that have SLA in the Life Insurance sector -

https://www.ii.co.uk/shares/standard-life-aberdeen/LSE:SLA

https://www.youinvest.co.uk/market-research/LSE:SLA

https://www.sharesmagazine.co.uk/shares/share/SLA

https://www.dividendmax.com/united-kingdom/london-stock-exchange/life-insurance/standard-life-aberdeen

https://shares.telegraph.co.uk/fundamentals/?epic=SLA

https://tinyurl.com/y5psgcha

Are all of those sources incorrect?

Have they exited the life insurance side of things, and the above simply haven't kept up with developments?

Cheers,

Itsallaguess

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#213161

Postby Dod101 » April 6th, 2019, 4:51 pm

Itsallaguess wrote:Are all of those sources incorrect?

Have they exited the life insurance side of things, and the above simply haven't kept up with developments?


Yes they are all incorrect. SLA sold its life insurance operations to Pheonix Holdings about a year ago and are now purely a fund manager (not a very good one in my opinion by that is another story) They hold just under 20% of Phoenix but that is their only involvement with the life insurance sector nowadays.

Dod

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#213168

Postby PinkDalek » April 6th, 2019, 5:02 pm

Dod101 wrote:Yes they are all incorrect. SLA sold its life insurance operations to Pheonix Holdings about a year ago and are now purely a fund manager (not a very good one in my opinion by that is another story) They hold just under 20% of Phoenix but that is their only involvement with the life insurance sector nowadays.


I wondered when this would be raised. One should point out that Bland categorised them as a fund manager https://www.stockopedia.com/content/how ... yp-459388/.

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#213170

Postby Itsallaguess » April 6th, 2019, 5:02 pm

Dod101 wrote:
Itsallaguess wrote:
Have they exited the life insurance side of things, and the above simply haven't kept up with developments?


Yes they are all incorrect. SLA sold its life insurance operations to Phoenix Holdings about a year ago and are now purely a fund manager (not a very good one in my opinion by that is another story) They hold just under 20% of Phoenix but that is their only involvement with the life insurance sector nowadays.


Thanks Dod (and moorfield for raising this point initially) - we'll change the SLA sector to 'Financial Services' in the HYPTUSS data-sheet.

Cheers,

Itsallaguess
Moderator Message:
Attribution corrected. - Chris

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#213173

Postby Arborbridge » April 6th, 2019, 5:16 pm

Itsallaguess wrote:
Thanks Dod (and monabri for raising this point initially) - we'll change the SLA sector to 'Financial Services' in the HYPTUSS data-sheet.

Cheers,

Itsallaguess


I've done that and it helped me... Life insurance was over my nominal limit, it is just under at 8.73%. Financial services is now on the limit at 9.77% but two of those companies I class as "gambling" anyway: IG index and Man Group. The only true fund managers I have are Schroders and SLA.

Arb.

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#213197

Postby IanTHughes » April 6th, 2019, 6:28 pm

Arborbridge wrote:
Itsallaguess wrote:And here's a capture of the current HYP in the HYPTUSS tool, with the approximate number of shares held based on purchase price, stamp-duty, and a notional dealing charge.


Tempting to unitise it.....

Already done but not much to report at the moment


Ian

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Re: Stephen Bland - New HYP Portfolio @ Stockopedia

#213199

Postby Arborbridge » April 6th, 2019, 6:35 pm

IanTHughes wrote:
Arborbridge wrote:
Itsallaguess wrote:And here's a capture of the current HYP in the HYPTUSS tool, with the approximate number of shares held based on purchase price, stamp-duty, and a notional dealing charge.


Tempting to unitise it.....

Already done


Ian


Will you publish from time to time? Just as importantly (and more of a chore) is keeping tabs on, and unitising the income per unit.

Arb.


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