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Smith (DS) Finals.

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idpickering
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Smith (DS) Finals.

#229098

Postby idpickering » June 13th, 2019, 7:10 am

Highlights

• Strong operational performance

◦ Market outperformance - volume growth at 2.4%(2)

◦ Volume growth in all regions through FMCG and e-commerce focus

◦ Continued success of US operations

• Strong financial performance

◦ Record return on sales and upgrade of medium-term target to 10 - 12%

◦ Organic adjusted operating profit growth(8) of 9%

◦ Profit before tax up 35%

◦ Free cash flow up 84%

◦ Robust balance sheet - pro-forma net debt/EBITDA(9) <2.0X

• Strategic delivery

• Strategic delivery

◦ Acquisition of Europac - upgrade to synergies from €50m to €70m

◦ Sale of plastics division agreed



Miles Roberts, Group Chief Executive, commented:

"This strong set of results from DS Smith demonstrates the company's growing scale and strategic progress in key markets. We are continuing to gain market share throughout Europe, particularly among more resilient FMCG customers, and our US business is performing well following our recent acquisition there.

And later;

Dividend

The proposed final dividend is 11.0 pence (2017/18: 9.8 pence), which will be paid on 1 November 2019 to ordinary shareholders on the register at close of business on 4 October 2019. As at 30 April 2019, the Company had distributable reserves of £1,469 million (30 April 2018: £1,651 million).




https://www.investegate.co.uk/smith--ds ... 00090343C/

idpickering
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Re: Smith (DS) Finals.

#229218

Postby idpickering » June 13th, 2019, 1:56 pm

Evidently this has gone down well, with the sp up 5.5% as I type. I hold SMDS as a recent purchase, and am likely to top up soon.

Ian.

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Re: Smith (DS) Finals.

#229238

Postby kempiejon » June 13th, 2019, 2:38 pm

Ta Ian, SMDS is one of mine, I bought in 2007 or 8 just before they cut the dividend, I think they were my first cutter to restore back to pre cut levels and the dividend increase has gone from strength to strength, doubling and now nearly tripling my purchase income. I sold my unshelteed holdings and now they are all in the ISA and topped up a few times - they've been a bit below my choice yield levels recently.

tjh290633
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Re: Smith (DS) Finals.

#229303

Postby tjh290633 » June 13th, 2019, 5:56 pm

Funny how the price fell about 3% initially before the decent rise. DS Smith is one of my star performers, having originally bought in 2007 at 210p. Added a few more in 2008 at 81p, then trimmed back at 189p in 2010. Sold the rights in 2012 and trimmed again in 2015 at 408p. Sold the last lot of rights in 2018 and my cost is negative. IRR about 14%.

My only gripe is the long time between announcement and payment of 141 days.

TJH

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Re: Smith (DS) Finals.

#229405

Postby FluffyOverlord » June 14th, 2019, 9:03 am

SMDS were on the BBC radio4 today programme yesterday for those interested.
It's available on BBC sounds.
2019-06-13 "Today" at about 1:18:30 into the download.

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Re: Smith (DS) Finals.

#229424

Postby daveh » June 14th, 2019, 10:18 am

tjh290633 wrote:Funny how the price fell about 3% initially before the decent rise. DS Smith is one of my star performers, having originally bought in 2007 at 210p. Added a few more in 2008 at 81p, then trimmed back at 189p in 2010. Sold the rights in 2012 and trimmed again in 2015 at 408p. Sold the last lot of rights in 2018 and my cost is negative. IRR about 14%.

My only gripe is the long time between announcement and payment of 141 days.

TJH


Yes one of my better purchases too. I purchased small amounts in 08 at 130p 58p and 76p and again in 09 at 72p, 82p and 67p. Purchased with Sharebuilder so the amounts of each purchase were mostly £250. Sold the rights in 2012 as the sum required to take them up was actually quite large and more than I had available - can't remember why I didn't tail swallow. Took up the rights in 2018. They are sowing an overall gain of 250% and an XIRR of 27.9%pa So not bad. My best performer is the PRU with a gain of 508% if you don't count ARM* which showed a gain of 537% over the period I owned it.

* ARM was a high yield share for some short periods, but I'm afraid that wasn't when I purchased or the gains would be much larger!

idpickering
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Re: Smith (DS) Finals.

#229427

Postby idpickering » June 14th, 2019, 10:37 am

No regrets from me with my recent purchase of SMDS shares on 22 May 19. The fact that the ex div date on 3 October for the final is my birthday has nothing to do with it. :D

Ian.

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Re: Smith (DS) Finals.

#229513

Postby TUK020 » June 14th, 2019, 3:09 pm

The most recent addition to my portfolio.
Results seem satisfactory. Especially like the FCF up 84%.
Any idea why they are being shorted?
tuk020

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Re: Smith (DS) Finals.

#229533

Postby Gengulphus » June 14th, 2019, 4:02 pm

daveh wrote:* ARM was a high yield share for some short periods, but I'm afraid that wasn't when I purchased or the gains would be much larger!

Very peripheral to this board's topic, but I don't think it ever was by the standards of this board's guidelines. The highest I'm aware that its yield ever became was about 2.5% in 2008, with a dividend of 2p on a share price that dropped to a low of about 80p. That wasn't high compared with the FTSE 100 yield of around 3.5%-4% at the time, but it did look a reasonable HYP bet for those who liked shares with a not-too-low dividend that was growing fast enough to become a high yield on the purchase price within a few years.

I.e. for those who were OK with judging it on say its 5-year forecast yield (and were happy to do the required 5-year dividend forecast themselves, because the usual analysts are unlikely to!), it might have qualified as a HYP purchase in 2008 - but I sort of suspect that using 5-year self-forecast yields to justify posting here would be regarded as taking the proverbial! (On the TMF board, it would have been more likely to be accepted: that board's guidelines didn't have the specific test of comparing with the FTSE 100 yield, and I suspect it would have been accepted in a post there provided backed up with calmly saying why the poster regarded it as a high yield.)

I should add that I didn't spot it as a potential HYP purchase (albeit a very borderline one) at the time, and as far as I recall, no-one else on the TMF board did either. I only spotted that it had probably become at least a borderline HYP purchase a few years later, when IIRC someone posted something that basically said ARM was (and had always been) just about as far away from being a HYP share as one could possibly get - which made me think "Hang on, is that actually true?"...

Fortunately, I did own ARM shares in another part of my overall investment strategy!

Gengulphus

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Re: Smith (DS) Finals.

#229537

Postby monabri » June 14th, 2019, 4:10 pm

TUK020 wrote:The most recent addition to my portfolio.
Results seem satisfactory. Especially like the FCF up 84%.
Any idea why they are being shorted?
tuk020


Hazarding a guess - it's Brexit related - especially if there were to be a hard Brexit.

Google "DS Smith Brexit".

Looks like they are taking steps to mitigate issues.

johnstevens77
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Re: Smith (DS) Finals.

#229591

Postby johnstevens77 » June 14th, 2019, 6:49 pm

Thanks for that Ian, I bought in 2007 and held ever since. I could never understand why the price plunged after they made a takover, (sorry I don't remember the details). The statistics looked fine to me. I withdraw most of my dividends now to fund my retirement and as SMDS is ranking 20 out of 26 for value and 19 in the top up order, I wont be buying any more soon.

john


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