Interesting to see that Sweden's much criticised policy has now resulted in lower infection rates than its Nordic neigbours - https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/0 ... -doubters/
And no mandatory masks, either.
Sweden's GDP is now expected to shrink 4.6% this year, compared to a predicted 12.4% in the UK.
Their public sector debt is estimated to rise to 42.9% of GDP this year, compared to 35.2% last year, and compared with over 100% in the UK.
Swedes 2, Turnips 1?
Here's an interesting link to the FT Times coronavirus updates. They measure lockdowns by a "stringency index" (to compare different packages of lockdown measures in different countries) and there's also an animated interactive graph showing the world map on a timeline, which shows when countries locked down hardest, and when they partially lifted it - Spain was particularly slow to respond in March (and also UK of course). Germany stands out as the most cautious nation, given that it hasn't been too badly affected by coronavirus. (You need to press the "Play" icon for the sequence to play through - I think it's a really informative way of seeing the big picture on comparing speed and strengths of various lockdowns)
The relevant point for the Sweden comparisons is that since June 6th, Norway has had a very similar lockdown regime to that of Sweden, so after 3 months of similar lockdown stringency, you'd expect infection rates to be similar in the 2 countries. https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-lockdowns/
For anyone who still thinks lockdowns don't make any difference...ahem.
Just look at the following chart showing cases per million of population. When you click on the link, you have to wait a few seconds before the relevant graph appears. (The EU line in the chart is comparable to other countries because it's in cases per million of population).https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?ar ... lues=cases
For Sweden, after the first few days of the outbreak, it's at much higher levels than comparable European countries, worse even than us, and almost as bad as the USA.
What's the one big difference between Sweden and the other European countries? Yes, lockdown.
If anyone thinks Sweden has already hit herd immunity levels, they've only had around 11% of their population infected, so that requires drastic rewriting of the science on herd immunity.
Noteworthy that until last week, Norway's infection rate was still much lower than Sweden, and has overtaken Sweden just in the last couple of days.
This chart also shows that UK had higher levels of infection for longer because we locked down later, and then, because other European countries partially opened up before we did, our infections fell relative to other countries.