Itsallaguess wrote:I'm not quite sure that I really need 'a better outcome' - I'd really be quite happy with the same outcome, so long as I'm more comfortable in actually getting one outcome over another....
Consider two busses going between the same two stops....
One might be an open-top bus, let's call that the HYP-bus....
The other hasn't got an open-top, and is the normal covered-type on the top deck, let's call that the IT-bus....
Probably unintentionally, you've slipped your own personal judgement about the relative comfort levels of the two buses in there. The wording "let's call" is a contraction for "let us call", and so it implicitly and almost unnoticeably assumes that readers share your judgement that a HYP offers a less certain level of comfort (in both directions) than a portfolio of ITs. But for some (and I'm currently among them), it's the other way around: for me, there are a number of reasons why a portfolio of ITs offers a less certain level of comfort than a HYP - among them, I'm a lot less confident about my ability to select good IT managers than good companies, ITs carry a greater level of uncertainty about how and when the portfolio will be traded, and ITs are less comfortable for me ethically because a fair proportion of their income comes from sources I do not want to use to fund my living expenses.
So for me, it's the IT-bus that is the open-top bus and the HYP-bus that is the normal covered type. I'm not claiming that your characterisation of them is factually wrong - just that it isn't a matter of fact at all, but of opinions, and that opinions on the matter do actually differ in practice. So the consensus assumed by "let's call" isn't actually there...
Apart from that, I agree about being happy with the same outcome, so long as I'm more comfortable about how I get it. And indeed, I'd even be happy with a slightly less good outcome, with the same proviso. A good deal of my spending isn't justified by getting positive financial returns from it, but by being happy to accept a not-strictly-necessary negative financial return (i.e. the price I pay) for the greater comfort whatever I've bought produces for me, and it seems only consistent to apply the same principle to investing...
Gengulphus