servodude wrote: dealtn wrote:
terminal7 wrote:- the UK is a high infection country
Without being emotive, can you explain what this means, and why you think it so please?
I am interested in how other people see risk and its measurement.
how about comparing say deaths due to COVID with somewhere else?https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/tota ... er-million
gives for the UK 512 deaths per million people
- and by contrast for Australia 4
Irrespective of whatever the infection fatality rate turns out to be is certainly looks like there's a lot of it about in the UK
Well firstly anyone can choose a "low" alternative, that would fail to convince anyone. (Both might be considered low risk, albeit one lower than the other, and some might even think the higher is closer to herd immunity and if infection rates have now fallen dramatically it was now safer).
But more importantly this is surely all about looking forward not backwards. Current infection rates might be very low, perhaps lower than other parts of the world. By the time airports are "open" again that could be much lower still.
If R=0.1 in both England and France, but R=0.5 in Scotland would you think "logically" it would be ok to have an open border between England and Scotland, but not between England and France?
Similarly if R=0.05 in general communities in England but R=2 in care homes how would you decide what is appropriate movement between those 2 communities.
Now I am not trying to be controversial, nor seeking a "discussion" on Covid, there are other places for that, this is "Airport Lounge", but I am trying to establish why some think risks are different to others, and can get quite emotive about it (such as the original post), when making judgements about practical policy responses.