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Musk endeavours

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BobbyD
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Re: Musk endeavours

#413662

Postby BobbyD » May 20th, 2021, 6:45 pm

odysseus2000 wrote:
BobbyD wrote:
odysseus2000 wrote:Model S delivery event June 3, California.

Plaid fastest production car ever:

https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/139 ... 85479?s=20

Regards,



Engineering explained

No, Tesla Can't Hit 60 MPH In Under 2 Seconds (Model S Plaid)


- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=i7yigpPSu_o


Ha Ha,

Who cares!

Regards,


Well apparently Musk because he posted it, you because you quoted it, engineering explained guy because he debunked it and anybody who disagrees with, what was rhe phrase he used 'shady sales practices'...

odysseus2000
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Re: Musk endeavours

#413667

Postby odysseus2000 » May 20th, 2021, 7:10 pm

BobbyD
Well apparently Musk because he posted it, you because you quoted it, engineering explained guy because he debunked it and anybody who disagrees with, what was rhe phrase he used 'shady sales practices'...


Since all 0-60 times are measured this way, why does anyone care?

Clearly one could anyhow, redefine the start point, or use thrusters to go well below the quoted times.

Additionally there is all manner of crudeness in the analysis. Applying Newton's laws on average to argue the relationship between deceleration and acceleration and then to say this only applies to road cars that are made and a whole host of other handwaving.

If the guy wants to argue this is in detail he will need to substantially refine his analysis and do some very accurate measurements.

As things are one has a white board covered with approximations coupled with a series of unsupported and wild statements that make no sense.

Sure if you have no engineering/physics knowledge one can be impressed but for anyone who such knowledge it is like the scrawling of a semi-literate with no skin in the game and as far as I know nothing but a wild sense that the analysis is valid when it clearly is not.

Regards,

odysseus2000
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Re: Musk endeavours

#413701

Postby odysseus2000 » May 20th, 2021, 10:21 pm

Munro gives his initial opinion on the F-150 lightning:

https://youtu.be/EGqVd2-ltM8

Generally impressed.

Regards,

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Re: Musk endeavours

#413736

Postby BobbyD » May 21st, 2021, 5:27 am

odysseus2000 wrote:
BobbyD
Well apparently Musk because he posted it, you because you quoted it, engineering explained guy because he debunked it and anybody who disagrees with, what was rhe phrase he used 'shady sales practices'...


Since all 0-60 times are measured this way, why does anyone care?

Clearly one could anyhow, redefine the start point, or use thrusters to go well below the quoted times.

Additionally there is all manner of crudeness in the analysis. Applying Newton's laws on average to argue the relationship between deceleration and acceleration and then to say this only applies to road cars that are made and a whole host of other handwaving.

If the guy wants to argue this is in detail he will need to substantially refine his analysis and do some very accurate measurements.

As things are one has a white board covered with approximations coupled with a series of unsupported and wild statements that make no sense.

Sure if you have no engineering/physics knowledge one can be impressed but for anyone who such knowledge it is like the scrawling of a semi-literate with no skin in the game and as far as I know nothing but a wild sense that the analysis is valid when it clearly is not.

Regards,


You're conveniently overlooking one point, which is made first - and which the rest of the video is providing supporting arguments for.

On the sales page Tesla state the 0-60 for the S LR at 3.2s, Plaid at 1.99s. and for Plaid+ at <1.99s, all uncaveated.

On the feature details page the 0-60 times for the Plaid and the Plaid+ but not the S LR are both asterisked, the asterisk leading you '*With first foot of rollout subtracted.'.

The claim that all 0-60 times are measured this way is not only wrong, it's laughable when it doesn't even appear that all Model S 0-60 times are measured this way, since they do not provide the same caveat for the S LR time...

...and if Tesla thinks this information requires disclosure why not put it on the sales page, rather than hiding it a layer further down?

It's not even like the 0-60 would be slow without the rollout, it's just an obsessive need to claim the max rather than deliver the max which shows a distinct fragility compared to say Porsche whose 'underpromise and overdeliver' mantra you very amusingly attempted to attach to Tesla at one point...

odysseus2000
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Re: Musk endeavours

#413742

Postby odysseus2000 » May 21st, 2021, 7:15 am

Musk confirms that the Tesla Sportscar will have SpaceX thruster option, giving a 0-60 time of 1.1 seconds as shown in this simulation:

https://twitter.com/smartertrader/statu ... 79206?s=20

Regards,

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Re: Musk endeavours

#413744

Postby BobbyD » May 21st, 2021, 7:30 am

odysseus2000 wrote:Musk confirms that the Tesla Sportscar will have SpaceX thruster option, giving a 0-60 time of 1.1 seconds as shown in this simulation:

https://twitter.com/smartertrader/statu ... 79206?s=20

Regards,


Vapourware.

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Re: Musk endeavours

#413831

Postby Howard » May 21st, 2021, 11:10 am

odysseus2000 wrote:Musk confirms that the Tesla Sportscar will have SpaceX thruster option, giving a 0-60 time of 1.1 seconds as shown in this simulation:

https://twitter.com/smartertrader/statu ... 79206?s=20

Regards,


“Giga Berlin will come together at an impossible-seeming speed,” Musk tweeted in July 2020.

regards

Howard

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Re: Musk endeavours

#413843

Postby odysseus2000 » May 21st, 2021, 11:31 am

Howard wrote:
odysseus2000 wrote:Musk confirms that the Tesla Sportscar will have SpaceX thruster option, giving a 0-60 time of 1.1 seconds as shown in this simulation:

https://twitter.com/smartertrader/statu ... 79206?s=20

Regards,


“Giga Berlin will come together at an impossible-seeming speed,” Musk tweeted in July 2020.

regards

Howard


By European standard it is.

There is a big difference between US and China's rate of innovation and that of Europe.

Regards,

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Re: Musk endeavours

#413865

Postby BobbyD » May 21st, 2021, 12:13 pm

Howard wrote:
odysseus2000 wrote:Musk confirms that the Tesla Sportscar will have SpaceX thruster option, giving a 0-60 time of 1.1 seconds as shown in this simulation:

https://twitter.com/smartertrader/statu ... 79206?s=20

Regards,


“Giga Berlin will come together at an impossible-seeming speed,” Musk tweeted in July 2020.

regards

Howard


He also described autonomous as 'essentially solved' in 2015, and said, "Lidar is a fool’s errand ...Anyone relying on lidar is doomed. Doomed! [They are] expensive sensors that are unnecessary. It’s like having a whole bunch of expensive appendices. Like, one appendix is bad, well now you have a whole bunch of them, it’s ridiculous, you’ll see.”

Speaking of which:

Tesla Model Y Is Spotted Testing LiDAR With Manufacturer Plates


- https://insideevs.com/news/508669/tesla ... nar-lidar/

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Re: Musk endeavours

#413874

Postby odysseus2000 » May 21st, 2021, 12:47 pm

BobbyD wrote:
Howard wrote:
odysseus2000 wrote:Musk confirms that the Tesla Sportscar will have SpaceX thruster option, giving a 0-60 time of 1.1 seconds as shown in this simulation:

https://twitter.com/smartertrader/statu ... 79206?s=20

Regards,


“Giga Berlin will come together at an impossible-seeming speed,” Musk tweeted in July 2020.

regards

Howard


He also described autonomous as 'essentially solved' in 2015, and said, "Lidar is a fool’s errand ...Anyone relying on lidar is doomed. Doomed! [They are] expensive sensors that are unnecessary. It’s like having a whole bunch of expensive appendices. Like, one appendix is bad, well now you have a whole bunch of them, it’s ridiculous, you’ll see.”

Speaking of which:

Tesla Model Y Is Spotted Testing LiDAR With Manufacturer Plates


- https://insideevs.com/news/508669/tesla ... nar-lidar/


With knowing the details of what they are doing it is all pointless speculation.

As far as I am aware the latest version of FSD is pure optical, no radar, but Tesla do not confide in me, so I have no first hand information.

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Re: Musk endeavours

#413879

Postby Howard » May 21st, 2021, 12:56 pm

odysseus2000 wrote:
Howard wrote:
odysseus2000 wrote:Musk confirms that the Tesla Sportscar will have SpaceX thruster option, giving a 0-60 time of 1.1 seconds as shown in this simulation:

https://twitter.com/smartertrader/statu ... 79206?s=20

Regards,


“Giga Berlin will come together at an impossible-seeming speed,” Musk tweeted in July 2020.

regards

Howard


By European standard it is.

There is a big difference between US and China's rate of innovation and that of Europe.

Regards,


Oh! You're suggesting it's finished and manufacturing cars and batteries? I missed the opening.

Is it a bit like your claim that Tesla makes cars with a 400 mile range?

Haven't seen one yet. ;)

regards

Howard

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Re: Musk endeavours

#413886

Postby odysseus2000 » May 21st, 2021, 1:10 pm

Howard
Oh! You're suggesting it's finished and manufacturing cars and batteries? I missed the opening.

Is it a bit like your claim that Tesla makes cars with a 400 mile range?

Haven't seen one yet. ;)

regards

Howard


No its not finished, but the target of q4 2021 if met will still be fast for sluggish Europe.

It will be interesting to see if a UK site is created and if so whether Brexit Britain can do the job faster.

We do know that Tesla spent two days here before the trip to Berlin.

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Re: Musk endeavours

#413887

Postby Howard » May 21st, 2021, 1:13 pm

odysseus2000 wrote:
Howard
Oh! You're suggesting it's finished and manufacturing cars and batteries? I missed the opening.

Is it a bit like your claim that Tesla makes cars with a 400 mile range?

Haven't seen one yet. ;)

regards

Howard


No its not finished, but the target of q4 2021 if met will still be fast for sluggish Europe.

It will be interesting to see if a UK site is created and if so whether Brexit Britain can do the job faster.

We do know that Tesla spent two days here before the trip to Berlin.

Regards,


Mike summed up range issues for the Model S in his post on another thread.

Not able to keep up with Plumber’s vans! ;)

viewtopic.php?p=413808#p413808

regards

Howard

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Re: Musk endeavours

#413897

Postby odysseus2000 » May 21st, 2021, 1:36 pm

Howard
Mike summed up range issues for the Model S in his post on another thread.

Not able to keep up with Plumber’s vans! ;)

viewtopic.php?p=413808#p413808

regards

Howard


Ha Ha!

I am sure some folk will do this, but I am also sure that most won't.

Regards,

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Re: Musk endeavours

#413903

Postby BobbyD » May 21st, 2021, 2:06 pm

Howard wrote:
Mike summed up range issues for the Model S in his post on another thread.

Not able to keep up with Plumber’s vans! ;)

viewtopic.php?p=413808#p413808

regards

Howard


That explains why the Teslarati are obsessed with getting to 62mph as quickly as possible!

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Re: Musk endeavours

#413905

Postby BobbyD » May 21st, 2021, 2:16 pm

odysseus2000 wrote:
No its not finished, but the target of q4 2021 if met will still be fast for sluggish Europe.


You can hardly blame the Germans if Tesla keep submitting altered plans.

BMW decided it wasn't worth trying to build on the site, but what do they know about the German planning process?

Still, if they stop making unapproved transgressions in to the water table with piles and sewage pipes I guess there is still a chance they might get something approved...

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Re: Musk endeavours

#414507

Postby BobbyD » May 24th, 2021, 8:20 am

Turns out Musk might not be the biggest crypto-influencer...

Crypto miners halt China business after Beijing cracks down, bitcoin tumbles

Cryptocurrency miners, including HashCow and BTC.TOP, have halted their China operations after Beijing intensified a crackdown on bitcoin mining and trading, hammering digital currencies amid heightened global regulatory scrutiny of them.

A State Council committee led by Vice Premier Liu He announced the crackdown late on Friday as part of efforts to fend off financial risks. It was the first time the council has targeted virtual currency mining, a big business in China that accounts for as much as 70% of the world's crypto supply.

...Bitcoin took a beating after the latest Chinese move, and is now down nearly 50% from it's all-time high. It shed as much as 17% on Sunday, before paring some losses and was last trading steady in Asia. Elsewhere, Ether fell to a two-month low on Sunday, down 60% from a record peak hit just 12 days ago,


BTC is getting close to the purchase price suggested by the article Ody dug up. Could be some interesting times ahead given Musk's promise not to sell:

So, in short, Tesla will not recognise a gain on the value of its bitcoin unless some are sold. However, it will recognise a loss if the crypto falls below the price at which the electric vehicle maker purchased its allocation over an accounting period, even if the coins are not sold. It is not clear from this language, however, which bitcoin exchanges Tesla is referring to, or whether the “lowest price” is an average, or refers to the very lowest price quoted at any one time. We’ll just have to wait and see.

What is clear, however, is that unless Tesla sells its bitcoins for a profit, the accounting treatment for its crypto position is skewed to the downside. If the crypto is as volatile over the next year as it has been over the past one, its fair to speculate that losses might be greater than expected in at least one quarter this year.


- https://www.ft.com/content/364734d1-80d ... 13c93062ab

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Re: Musk endeavours

#414511

Postby BobbyD » May 24th, 2021, 9:01 am


NotSure
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Re: Musk endeavours

#414538

Postby NotSure » May 24th, 2021, 10:16 am

Something I pointed out earlier in this thread, and now Musk himself has noticed,

“Bitcoin is actually highly centralised, with supermajority controlled by a handful of big mining (aka hashing) companies”


https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1393993975019749382

I'm not into BTC, but no way would I put serious money into anything that was beholden to Xi - Chinese miners en masse could do whatever they want to bitcoin via a "51%" attack, e.g. inflate the supply.

I think if Chinese miners get shutdown, and don't take out bitcoin while they do it, then long term that is actually good for bitcoin (alas ;))

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Re: Musk endeavours

#414588

Postby odysseus2000 » May 24th, 2021, 12:37 pm

The numbers for bitcoin mining do not add up.

One moment one reads that China is doing 80% of the mining with another 8% of it being done in Iran, USA, Scandinavia, various amounts from Iceland and Russia.

I doubt anyone knows and the numerous articles and certainties stated by various journalists are estimates with significant uncertainties all of which make for headlines like:

https://www.dw.com/en/bitcoin-mining-is ... a-57443905

It seems likely that before long some Crypto will emerge as the coin of choice and that it (or they) will become the standards for crypto currencies. If markets get a scent then one will likely see decoupling. If e.g. bitcoin ceases to be the standard then one could see its price fall while the chosen one(s) rise and at the same time the other cyber's that have fallen out of favour also fall.

Alternatively bitcoin might clean up its image in some real or hyped way and rally strongly potentially allowing an exit route for existing holders or to re-establish itself as the original and best.

For the moment bitcoin remains an inside bar to the wide range bar on the 19th of May. Until it gets out and stays out of that inside bar it is going to be choppy and best avoided.

Regards,


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