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NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

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daveh
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NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#230082

Postby daveh » June 17th, 2019, 9:21 am

has just announced that it will be making a small profit from the merger of Alawwal bank and Saudi British Bank. Details here:
http://www.investegate.co.uk/article.as ... 3946C&fe=1
Impact of the Merger on RBS
· Within the NatWest Markets franchise, RBS will recognise an income gain on disposal of the Alawwal bank stake for shares received in SABB of £0.4 billion and a reduction in risk weighted assets ("RWAs") of £4.7 billion.
· Within Central Items, RBS will recycle foreign exchange of £0.3 billion which is capital neutral and will in addition extinguish legacy liabilities of £0.3 billion.
· The gains above the line will be partially offset by £0.3 billion of non-controlling interests.
· These impacts would have increased the 31 March 2019 CET1 by 60bps, being 20bps attributable profit and 40bps RWA relief.
Moderator Message:
Name changed from Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC (RBS). - Chris
Last edited by csearle on July 22nd, 2020, 9:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#241259

Postby daveh » August 2nd, 2019, 10:55 am

I've posted the half year results over on the HYP-P board here:
viewtopic.php?f=15&t=18845

The don't look too bad with an increase in the interim dividend to 2p and a special of 12p, but the market had marked them down 11p (~5%) when I last looked this morning.

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#249133

Postby daveh » September 4th, 2019, 8:16 am

Have just announced a further (and possibly final) Charge related to PPI of £600-900m
www.investegate.co.uk/article.aspx?id=2 ... 1174L&fe=1

To 30 June 2019, RBS made provisions totalling £5.3 billion for PPI claims of which £4.9 billion had been utilised.
The volume of claims received during August was significantly higher than expected, with a further spike in the final days leading up to the deadline of 29 August 2019. RBS therefore now expects to make an incremental charge for PPI claims, in addition to the provisions recorded to 30 June 2019, in the range of £600 million to £900 million in its Q3 2019 results, which takes into account claims by the Official Receiver. The processing of claims is ongoing and the ultimate provision recognised could be above or below this range.



I wonder if we will be seeing similar notices for increased provisions from the other UK banks in particular Lloyds?

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#259785

Postby daveh » October 24th, 2019, 8:50 am

Third qtr results
https://www.investegate.co.uk/royal-bk- ... 00059365Q/


he Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc
Q3 2019 Interim Management Statement

RBS reported an operating loss before tax of £8 million, which included a £900 million provision in respect of Payment Protection Insurance (PPI), compared with an operating profit of £961 million in Q3 2018.

●Return on tangible equity was 7.0% for Q3 2019 excluding the PPI charge.
●Income was broadly stable across the retail and commercial businesses compared with Q2 2019, excluding notable items.
●Group income was impacted by a particularly challenging quarter in NatWest Markets (NWM).
●RBS reported an attributable loss of £315 million for Q3 2019.

Supporting our customers through continued lending growth

●UK Personal Banking (UK PB) gross new mortgage lending was £8.6 billion in Q3 2019 compared with £6.7 billion in Q2 2019.
●Commercial Banking net lending was £0.1 billion higher than Q2 2019. Across Business Banking, SME & Mid-Corporate, and Specialised business, lending continues to increase, with year to date growth of £1.6 billion.
●We continue to achieve net lending growth across UK PB, Ulster Bank RoI, Commercial and Private Banking at attractive returns; net loans to customers increased by 3.2% on an annualised basis for the year to date, exceeding our 2-3% net loan growth target.
●Q3 2019 net impairment loss of £213 million equates to 26 basis points of gross customer loans, compared with 31 basis points in Q3 2018. The cost of risk remains below our view of a normalised long term loss rate of 30-40 basis points.

Continuing competitive market

●Across the retail and commercial businesses, income decreased by 3.1% compared with Q3 2018 excluding notable items.
●Bank net interest margin (NIM) of 1.97% was 5 basis points lower than Q2 2019 primarily reflecting the contraction of the yield curve and competitive pressures in the mortgage business as front book margins, whilst higher than Q2 2019, remain lower than back book margins.
●NWM had a challenging quarter with core income of £184 million, lower by £147 million, or 44.4%, than Q3 2018. Rates income in particular was impacted by a deterioration in economic sentiment for the global economy and a fall in bond yields. This, together with legacy items culminated in a loss of £193 million for the quarter.
●Costs decreased by £20 million in comparison to Q3 2018, with a £193 million cost reduction achieved for the year to date. We remain on track to achieve our £300 million target for full year 2019.

Capital generation

●CET1 ratio of 15.7% included a 50 basis point reduction in respect of the PPI charge.
●RWAs increased by £1.0 billion in Q3 2019 to £189.5 billion, principally reflecting an increase in NWM. In line with previous guidance, we expect to end the year with RWAs of around £185-190 billion.


2019 and 2020 outlook - unchanged(1)



So RBS has fallen to a third qtr loss due to PPI claims and investment banking losses, but mostly PPI claims. The question is, is that it or will more need to be set aside for PPI claims in future years even though theoretically PPI claims were time limited to August this year?

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#284156

Postby daveh » February 14th, 2020, 8:30 am

Full year results can be found here:

https://www.investegate.co.uk/royal-bk- ... 00060305D/

RBS reported an operating profit before tax of £4,232 million and an attributable profit of £3,133 million and proposes a final ordinary dividend of 3 pence and a 5 pence special dividend.

In a challenging market RBS has exceeded all of its 2019 financial targets: cost reduction above target; net lending growth ahead of target; RWAs below guidance; and 22 pence of total distributions to shareholders in 2019, while maintaining a CET1 ratio of 16.2%.

●Return on tangible equity of 9.4% for 2019 and 4.7% excluding FX recycling gains.
●Q4 2019 operating profit before tax of £1,546 million and an attributable profit of £1,410 million, or £176 million excluding FX recycling gains.
●FY 2019 attributable profit of £3,133 million, or £1,561 million excluding FX recycling gains.

Supporting our customers through continued lending growth
●We continue to achieve net lending growth at attractive returns in a challenging market. Across UK Personal Banking, Ulster Bank RoI, Commercial Banking and Private Banking, net loans to customers increased by 3.7% in 2019, exceeding our 2-3% growth target.
●UK Personal Banking gross new mortgage lending was £33.3 billion in 2019 compared with £30.4 billion in 2018. Commercial Banking gross new lending was £19.5 billion in 2019.
●2019 net impairment losses of £696 million equate to 21 basis points of gross customer loans, compared with 13 basis points in 2018. The cost of risk remains below our view of a normalised blended long term loss rate of 30-40 basis points.


Continuing competitive market
●Reflecting challenging market conditions and ongoing margin pressure, across the retail and commercial businesses income, excluding notable items, decreased by 2.6% compared with 2018.
●2019 Bank net interest margin (NIM) of 1.99% decreased by 10 basis points compared with 2018. Q4 2019 Bank NIM of 1.93% was 4 basis points lower than Q3 2019 primarily reflecting competitive pressures in the mortgage business as front book margins remain lower than back book.
●Natwest Markets core income of £1,082 million was £177 million, or 14.1%, lower than 2018 largely reflecting a challenging third quarter in the Rates business.
●A cost reduction of £310 million was achieved during 2019, ahead of our £300 million target for the year.


Capital generation
●The Bank maintained a CET1 ratio of 16.2% despite accruing £2.7 billion of distributions to shareholders and a £0.4 billion post tax charge in respect of foreseeable pension contributions. Excluding the impact of the Alawwal bank merger and PPI, the Bank generated c.110 basis points of capital from attributable profits and c.60 basis points from a reduction in RWAs and other capital movements.
●RWAs reduced by £9.5 billion during 2019 to £179.2 billion, below our £185 -190 billion guidance, in part reflecting a £4.7 billion reduction associated with the Alawwal bank merger.

Parent Company name change
Today, we have announced that we plan to rename our parent company. The Royal Bank of Scotland Group plc is intended to be renamed NatWest Group plc later this year.



Outlook(1)
RBS, like all companies, continues to deal with a range of significant risks and uncertainties in the external economic, political and regulatory environment. Our central economic forecast, which supports our corporate plan, is in line with consensus as at the end of December 2019 and shows average UK GDP growth of around 1.6% from 2019 to 2023 and continued low interest rates; we expect a base rate cut in the short term and then flat thereafter. Given the current uncertainties we will continue to actively monitor and react to market conditions.

6. Dividends
In 2019 RBS paid an interim dividend of £241 million, or 2.0p per ordinary share and a special dividend of £1,449 million, or 12.0p per share. In addition, the company proposes a final dividend of £364 million, or 3.0p per ordinary share and a further special dividend of £606 million, or 5.0p per ordinary share.

The final and special dividends recommended by directors are subject to shareholders' approval at the Annual General Meeting on 29 April 2020. If approved, payment will be made on 4 May 2020 to shareholders on the register at the close of business on 27 March 2020. The ex-dividend date will be 26 March 2020.

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#326625

Postby monabri » July 16th, 2020, 3:31 pm

viewtopic.php?p=326624#p326624

( advising Kiloran for HYPTUSS)


Royal Bank of Scotland will formally change its name to NatWest Group on July 22, in a move aimed at distancing the state-backed lender from its government bailout during the 2008/9 financial crisis.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/bu ... 2-12937772

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#326662

Postby Breelander » July 16th, 2020, 6:36 pm

monabri wrote:Royal Bank of Scotland will formally change its name to NatWest Group on July 22...



The RNS is here, including this on their EPIC ticker....

A subsequent announcement will be made when the name change becomes effective, which will also provide an update regarding trading under RBS's revised tickers. Until the publication of such an announcement, trading will continue under the existing tickers...

https://www.investegate.co.uk/royal-bk- ... 00051466T/

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#327982

Postby Breelander » July 22nd, 2020, 4:13 pm

Now the name has changed there will be a new ticker too...


Trading in NatWest Group plc's ordinary shares on the London Stock Exchange under the new name and an updated ticker (NWG) will commence from Thursday, 23 July 2020.
https://www.investegate.co.uk/royal-bk- ... 00057909T/
Moderator Message:
Name changed from Royal Bank of Scotland Group PLC (RBS). - Chris
Last edited by csearle on July 22nd, 2020, 9:20 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#387910

Postby daveh » February 19th, 2021, 10:34 am

Final results and a dividend

https://www.investegate.co.uk/natwest-g ... 04247032P/

NatWest Group plc

2020 NatWest Group performance summary

Alison Rose, Chief Executive Officer:



"The past year presented some extraordinary challenges for our customers, colleagues and communities. We provided exceptional levels of support to those who needed it, including the approval of over £14 billion of lending under UK Government schemes, demonstrating that we have truly put Our Purpose at the heart of this business. Being purpose-led isn't just the right thing to do, it has a powerful commercial imperative and is fundamental to building sustainable value in our business.

Despite reporting a loss for the year, NatWest Group delivered a resilient underlying performance in a challenging operating environment. The bank continued to grow in key areas such as mortgages and commercial lending and our balance sheet remains strong, with one of the highest capital ratios amongst our UK and European peers. We have today announced our intention to pay a final dividend whilst reaffirming our commitment to regular capital returns for shareholders in the future.

We made strong progress in executing the strategy we set out in February 2020 as we build a relationship bank for a digital world; a bank that will meet the rapidly evolving needs of our customers at different stages of their lives through an ever-increasing focus on digital and transformation. In turn, this will drive sustainable, long-term returns to our shareholders.

We cannot be certain of the long-term impact of the pandemic. But we can be certain that our bank will continue to support those who need it most as we build back better. By championing potential and helping people, families and businesses to rebuild and thrive, we will succeed together."


Financial performance in a challenging environment

● Full year 2020 operating loss of £351 million and an attributable loss of £753 million. Q4 2020 operating profit before tax of £64 million and an attributable loss of £109 million.

● Full year 2020 net impairment losses of £3,242 million, or 88 basis points of gross customer loans, resulted in an expected credit loss (ECL) coverage ratio of 1.66%.

● In comparison to 2019, income across the retail and commercial businesses, excluding notable items, decreased by 10.0% as the lower yield curve, subdued business activity and lower consumer spending were partially offset by strong balance growth.

● 2020 Bank net interest margin (NIM) of 1.71% decreased by 28 basis points compared with 2019. Q4 2020 Bank NIM of 1.66% increased by 1 basis point in comparison to Q3 2020 as lower average central liquidity and improved asset margins more than offset reduced structural hedge income as a result of lower swap rates.

● A cost reduction of £277 million was achieved during 2020, ahead of our £250 million target for the year.


Robust balance sheet with strong capital and liquidity levels

● CET1 ratio of 18.5%, was 230 basis points higher than 2019, including c.100 basis points related to IFRS 9 transitional relief. The CET1 ratio increased by 30 basis points in comparison to Q3 2020 as the £3.6 billion reduction in RWAs and a 23 basis point software intangible benefit were partially offset by the 3 pence proposed final dividend, 21 basis points, and linked pension contribution, 16 basis points.

● The liquidity coverage ratio (LCR) of 165%, representing £72.1 billion headroom above 100%, increased by 13 percentage points in comparison to 2019. In comparison to Q3 2020 LCR increased by 8 percentage points reflecting the continued growth in customer deposits.

● Net lending across the retail and commercial businesses increased by £20.9 billion in 2020 supported by £12.9 billion drawdowns against UK Government lending schemes and £16.2 billion mortgage lending, including £3.0 billion related to the Metro Bank plc mortgage portfolio acquisition. This growth has been partially offset by lower unsecured balances, which were impacted by lower spend and higher repayments, subdued business activity and increased loan provisions. In Q4 2020, net lending across the retail and commercial businesses increased by £4.5 billion as mortgage growth of £6.2 billion and £1.6 billion of lending against UK Government lending schemes more than offset £2.4 billion net revolving credit facility (RCF) repayments.

● Customer deposits increased by £62.5 billion in comparison to 2019, with retail and commercial balances £60.5 billion higher as consumer spending was impacted by government restrictions and customers retained liquidity. In Q4 2020, customer deposits increased by £13.3 billion.

● RWAs decreased by £8.9 billion in comparison to 2019, including an £11.0 billion reduction in NatWest Markets to £26.9 billion, partially offset by volume growth across the retail and commercial businesses with minimal levels of procyclical credit risk inflation. RWAs reduced by £3.6 billion in Q4 2020, largely in NatWest Markets.


6. Dividends

The company announces that the directors have recommended a final dividend of £364 million, or 3p per ordinary share (2019 - nil), subject to shareholder approval at the Annual General Meeting on 28 April 2021.



If approved, payment will be made on 4 May 2021 to shareholders on the register at the close of business on 26 March 2021. The ex-dividend date will be 25 March 2021.


Now that was a surprise I wasn't expecting a dividend from NWG.

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#387931

Postby Dod101 » February 19th, 2021, 11:36 am

It is awash with capital. Even after the trading loss and the provisions, its CET Ratio is 18.5%. It is surprising that it is not announcing a share buyback.

Yesterday Barclays announced a CET Ratio of 15.1% up from 13.8% the previous year. I expect HSBC will reveal a high ratio as well when it announces its annual results on Tuesday. Of course the fact that they have paid no dividends for the past year has also meant additional capital retained in the business. The miserable dividends being announced are down to the formula from the PRA which I think was based on current profits.

Dod

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#387936

Postby daveh » February 19th, 2021, 11:52 am

Dod101 wrote:It is awash with capital. Even after the trading loss and the provisions, its CET Ratio is 18.5%. It is surprising that it is not announcing a share buyback.

Yesterday Barclays announced a CET Ratio of 15.1% up from 13.8% the previous year. I expect HSBC will reveal a high ratio as well when it announces its annual results on Tuesday. Of course the fact that they have paid no dividends for the past year has also meant additional capital retained in the business. The miserable dividends being announced are down to the formula from the PRA which I think was based on current profits.

Dod



Looking back at my records it seems they were due to pay a 3p final plus a 5p special before covid intervened, so perhaps a 3p final isn't so as unexpected as i first thought. WRT buy backs they do say:
NatWest Group capital distributions

Subject to economic conditions being in line with, or better than, our central economic forecast, NatWest Group intends to maintain ordinary dividends of around 40% of attributable profit and aims to distribute a minimum of £800 million per annum from 2021 to 2023 via a combination of ordinary and special dividends. NatWest Group intends to maintain the required capacity to participate in directed buybacks of the UK Government stake and recognises that any exercise of this authority would be dependent upon HMT's intentions and is limited to 4.99% of issued share capital in any 12 month period.



So we may see some buybacks of the government share holdings. I guess they won't want to buy back shares on the market until the Government holding has been markedly reduced - if they did buy from the market that would just increase the % held by the government and I am assuming they are aiming for a reducing government holding in the long term. I'd have thought that the government won't want to sell at the moment as the price is low and they would rather wait until the price improves and they can collect the dividend while they wait too.

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#387939

Postby Dod101 » February 19th, 2021, 12:01 pm

Interesting daveh. It always pays to look beyond the headlines. I see that after HSBC on Tuesday that Lloyds announces its results on Wednesday. Should be an interesting couple of days.

Dod

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#387942

Postby csearle » February 19th, 2021, 12:14 pm

daveh wrote:Now that was a surprise I wasn't expecting a dividend from NWG.
I presume that the ban on banks paying dividends has expired or been lifted? Can we expect banks across the board gradually to resume dividends? C.

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#387950

Postby monabri » February 19th, 2021, 12:48 pm

csearle wrote:
daveh wrote:Now that was a surprise I wasn't expecting a dividend from NWG.
I presume that the ban on banks paying dividends has expired or been lifted? Can we expect banks across the board gradually to resume dividends? C.


One would hope so but they are treading cautiously with the PRA overview. As Dod mentions above with the CET...they have the money. Give it a year! (?)

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#387960

Postby Dod101 » February 19th, 2021, 1:09 pm

csearle wrote:
daveh wrote:Now that was a surprise I wasn't expecting a dividend from NWG.
I presume that the ban on banks paying dividends has expired or been lifted? Can we expect banks across the board gradually to resume dividends? C.


You may or may not recall that the PRA issued its guidance on what banks could pay by way of dividend on 2020 profits last year. It called for prudence and was limited to 0.20% of risk weighted assets at 31 December 2020 or 25% of acumulative 8 quarter profits from 2019 to 2020. (I have no idea what the latter means) but the important thing is that they also said that they would transition to normal circumstances during 2021 and thus allow Directors to make the decisions regarding share buybacks and dividends. You can read the gory details if you Google PRA guidance to UK banks. I could not get a link to work.

It seems therefore that maybe by the half year we may see some return to normality. Time will tell.

Dod

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#387970

Postby csearle » February 19th, 2021, 1:33 pm

monabri wrote:One would hope so...

Dod101 wrote:You may or may not recall that the PRA issued its guidance...


Thanks guys. Very useful. I'll go read. C.

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#387988

Postby Breelander » February 19th, 2021, 3:04 pm

Dod101 wrote:
csearle wrote:
daveh wrote:Now that was a surprise I wasn't expecting a dividend from NWG.
I presume that the ban on banks paying dividends has expired or been lifted? Can we expect banks across the board gradually to resume dividends? C.


You may or may not recall that the PRA issued its guidance on what banks could pay by way of dividend on 2020 profits last year...


I wasn't surprised, I was expecting it after the PRA issued their guidance last December. Gengulphus quoted the relevant sections (with a link to the full guidance) here:

viewtopic.php?p=387820#p387820

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#396996

Postby daveh » March 19th, 2021, 9:08 am

Today Natwest group has agreed to buy back £1.1B worth of its shares from HMT details here:
https://www.investegate.co.uk/natwest-g ... 00038392S/

Off-market purchase of 590,730,325 ordinary shares from Her Majesty's Treasury ("HM Treasury")

NatWest Group plc (the "Company" or "NWG") has agreed with HM Treasury to make an off-market purchase (the "Off-Market Purchase") for the total consideration of £1,125,341,269 for 590,730,325 ordinary shares in the Company with a nominal value of £1 each ("Ordinary Shares") at a price of 190.50 pence per Ordinary Share, being yesterday's closing price of the Ordinary Shares on the London Stock Exchange.

The purchased Ordinary Shares represent 4.86 per cent of the Company's issued share capital. The Off-Market Purchase is expected to settle on 23 March 2021.


and that takes the governments holding down to just under 60%. I hadn't realised it had come down so much - last I recall the government still held 80odd % of RBS as was.

Following settlement of the above transaction:

- NWG will hold 200,000,000 of its Ordinary Shares as treasury shares;

- NWG will have in issue 11,575,835,427 Ordinary Shares (excluding treasury shares); 900,000 Cumulative Preference Shares of £1; and 10,130 Category II Non-cum Preference Shares of US$0.01 in issue; and

- HM Treasury will hold 6,918,753,194 Ordinary Shares, representing 59.77 per cent. of the Company's issued share capital excluding treasury shares.

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#396998

Postby GoSeigen » March 19th, 2021, 9:20 am

daveh wrote:Today Natwest group has agreed to buy back £1.1B worth of its shares from HMT details here:
https://www.investegate.co.uk/natwest-g ... 00038392S/

Off-market purchase of 590,730,325 ordinary shares from Her Majesty's Treasury ("HM Treasury")

NatWest Group plc (the "Company" or "NWG") has agreed with HM Treasury to make an off-market purchase (the "Off-Market Purchase") for the total consideration of £1,125,341,269 for 590,730,325 ordinary shares in the Company with a nominal value of £1 each ("Ordinary Shares") at a price of 190.50 pence per Ordinary Share, being yesterday's closing price of the Ordinary Shares on the London Stock Exchange.

The purchased Ordinary Shares represent 4.86 per cent of the Company's issued share capital. The Off-Market Purchase is expected to settle on 23 March 2021.


and that takes the governments holding down to just under 60%. I hadn't realised it had come down so much - last I recall the government still held 80odd % of RBS as was.

Following settlement of the above transaction:

- NWG will hold 200,000,000 of its Ordinary Shares as treasury shares;

- NWG will have in issue 11,575,835,427 Ordinary Shares (excluding treasury shares); 900,000 Cumulative Preference Shares of £1; and 10,130 Category II Non-cum Preference Shares of US$0.01 in issue; and

- HM Treasury will hold 6,918,753,194 Ordinary Shares, representing 59.77 per cent. of the Company's issued share capital excluding treasury shares.


Decent return of capital there. Funny that HMG in the form of the regulator banned bank dividend payments one year ago, but this year is quite relaxed about accepting a huge payment, also from distributable profits! It's all dirty politics as usual.

GS

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Re: NatWest Group PLC (NWG)

#397043

Postby daveh » March 19th, 2021, 11:05 am

Interestingly the purchase is due to settle on the 23March and they go ex div on 25th March so HMT will be missing out on a £17,721,909.75 dividend payment. I wonder who is doing better out of doing the deal before they go ex dividend. I'm a little surprised HMT are not holding on for a better price as the economy improves after covid (I hope) and collect dividends whilst they wait.


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