odysseus2000 wrote:The ending of sales of Gasoline and diesel engined cars, currently begin in 11 years, Germany takes a little longer:
https://cleantechnica.com/2019/01/23/sw ... gs-behind/Hat tip to Musk on Twitter for link.
Whether this ban is all ic engines or just new ones isn't clear. If its all ic engined cars one bought now will have scrap value only in 11 years and decreasing every day.
Imho it will be hard and financially foolish to buy an ic car within 5 years.
This imho is a huge tail wind for battery vehicles that will strengthen to gale force.
Regards,
Ody - this is just a journalist's story - you would call it "clickbait" if it didn't agree with your views!
Perhaps someone with a little more credibility, the Head of the IEA may have a more valid view:
Electric car use may be growing exponentially, but they are doing little to curb rising carbon emissions and oil demand, the head of the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday.
“To say that electric cars are the end of oil is definitely misleading,” economist Fatih Birol told a panel at the World Economic Forum in Davos.
“This year we expect global oil demand to increase by 1.3 million barrels per day. The effect of 5 million cars is [to diminish that demand by] 50,000 barrels per day. 50,000 versus 1.3m barrels.”
Last year, the IEA predicted that the number of electric cars globally would grow from 3 million today, to 125 million by 2030. But Birol said the number paled in comparison to the 1 billion cars powered by internal combustion engines.
Besides, he said, it was not cars that were driving oil demand – “full stop”.
“Drivers are trucks, the petrochemical industry, planes. Asia is just starting to fly,” he said, referring to the agency’s 2018 energy outlook report that also cites shipping as a major source of oil demand.
Birol also highlighted the problem of powering electric cars when two thirds of global generation comes from fossil fuels.
“Where does the electricity come from, to say that electric cars are a solution to our climate change problem? It is not,” Birol said.
“Even if there were 300 million [electric cars] with the current power generation system, the impact in terms of CO2 emissions is less than 1% – nothing. If you can’t decarbonise [the power sector], C02 emissions will not be going down. It may be helpful for the local pollution, but for global emissions it is not.”
see:
https://www.climatechangenews.com/2019/ ... ncy-chief/Are Tesla being overtaken by events? If you are really seriously suggesting they need legislation to help them, then they should be concentrating on Trucks and Planes. These are more likely to be affected by Government controls over the next 20 years.
regards
Howard