GoSeigen wrote:XFool wrote:GoSeigen wrote:Poor article which doesn't debunk anything, let alone what was originally being said (e.g. Pillar 2 is not mentioned at all in the article).
If anyone can discover why the article should be expected to even mention "Pillar 2", perhaps they can let us know.
If Mike claims 90% of London buses are red and someone else debunks this in a Huff Post article "Its a Myth that 90% of Buses are Red" by pointing out that obviously there are far more yellow buses in the US than any other colour and the US is has by far the most buses in the world -- then that would look a bit like the earlier quoted article.
If "Mike" claimed 90% of London buses were red, I'd start to think I ought to go looking for some London buses.
GoSeigen wrote:And some people would think the article makes perfect sense because they refuse to read Mike's writings.
Trouble is, I
have read some of Mike's "writings". With "Mike" I tend to use the 'Look out the window test' (metaphorically speaking).
1. There is no pandemic, it was all over by the summer - Look out the window
But this is the whole issue, isn't it?
2. There is "no second wave" - Look out the window
Even as most places are on their second wave and the US at least appears to be on their third wave. Yeah, I know, if it's a "seasonal wave, it isn't a wave etc."
3. Viruses don't do "second waves, it would be in the literature if they did" - Look out the window
See 2 above. Plus why did the 1918 pandemic have at least two and likely three documented waves? And no! Please don't explain
why that was, the point is just what
was. Plus, if viruses don't do waves, why does the
World Health Organization (WHO) influenza pandemic phase descriptions go up to "Possible new wave" before it gets to "Post-pandemic"?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pandemic#Stageshttps://web.archive.org/web/20200421161230/https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK143061/"
During the post-peak period, pandemic disease levels in most countries with adequate surveillance will have dropped below peak observed levels. The post-peak period signifies that pandemic activity appears to be decreasing; however, it is uncertain if additional waves will occur and countries will need to be prepared for a second wave.
Previous pandemics have been characterized by waves of activity spread over months. Once the level of disease activity drops, a critical communications task will be to balance this information with the possibility of another wave. Pandemic waves can be separated by months and an immediate “at-ease” signal may be premature."
4. Everyone who recovers from a virus is immune thereafter - Look out the window
He also uses the notion that exposure to any coronovirus confers immunity to other coronoviruses - e.g. cold viruses.
So.... As we've all had colds in the pasts, does this mean nobody can catch COVID-19? And personally, I KNOW I have had more than one cold in my life!
So how seriously are we expected to take "Mike" and his writing?
Just to bang on further with that "no second wave" theme, I leave you with this:
Daily New Cases in Swedenhttps://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/sweden/